Who Ordered Another Hurricane?

October 04, 2017 by Daphne Thompson
Topics:   WeatherOps | Tropical | Hurricane |

Alright, which one of you ordered another hurricane? It may still be Atlantic Hurricane Season, but most of us are worn out from the seemingly constant barrage of damaging tropical systems. However, the north-central to northeast Gulf Coast may soon be the next recipients.

Tropical Depression 16 (TD 16), soon to be named Nate, is expected to make initial landfall over Honduras and Nicaragua with tropical storm force winds and heavy rainfall. The storm center should move back out over the water in about 36 hours, where it is expected to reintensify.

TD 16 Forecast Path - October 4, 2017

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The Cone of Uncertainty shows landfall in the US is currently forecast to be somewhere along the north-central to northeast Gulf Coast late Sunday or Monday. At that time, TD 16 is expected to be a minimal hurricane. Tropical storm force winds could arrive by Saturday. It is important to note that computer models are not entirely in agreement right now and this path may shift over the next few days.

Tropical Depression 16 - October 4, 2017

TD 16 is located in an area of low shear as well as some very warm water. This environment is expected to continue to be favorable as it moves further north. It is likely to become at least a Category 1 hurricane as it crosses the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. This would make it the 9th hurricane of the year.

Atlantic Wind Shear and Ocean SST - October 4, 2017

The path of the storm could cause issues for the following college games: Florida State University versus Miami in Tallahassee and Florida versus Louisiana State University in Gainesville. It is important to note that the intensity forecast will likely change in the next few days, and all persons in the Gulf region are urged to monitor this storm’s progress. 

Daphne Thompson

Daphne is the Content Marketing Manager. Her prior experience includes working at the National Weather Center, Norman Emergency Management, and National Weather Service. With a degree in Meteorology from OU and previous outreach experience, she is able to bridge the gap between science and the general public.